Archive for November, 2009

Why the Success of Craig Anderson and the Avalanche Will Not Last

Will Craig Anderson finish the season as strong as he started?

Will Craig Anderson finish the season as strong as he started?

The Colorado Avalanche have been one of the feel good stories of the NHL so far this season. They were predicted by many to have another sub-par year, but after 15 games, they lead the Western Conference with 22 points. Much of their success can be attributed to the man between the pipes, Craig Anderson.

Anderson, through the first 15 games, is 10-3-2 with a .936 save percentage and 2.11 goals against average. Those numbers are outstanding. In fact, if he keeps that pace up, Anderson will set new career highs in all categories.

If you look at Anderson’s numbers this season, you will notice that he has started all 15 games and collected over 900 minutes of playing time. In his career, Anderson has never played more than 31 games in a single season. Similarly, he has never played more than 1636 minutes in a season.

In 2009-10, Craig Anderson is on pace to completely obliterate his career highs in games played and minutes. To me, this is a recipe for disaster. Even the best players in the league get fatigued from playing too many games. Sooner or later, the big man in Colorado will get tired. His numbers will begin to decline and wins will certainly be less frequent for the Avs.

I’m not saying that Colorado is going to finish in last place, or be quite as bad as the Maple Leafs. They are playing some great hockey as a team right now, not just the goalie. But unless the coaching staff starts giving their number one netminder a few nights off, the Avalanche could lose some key points from the middle to the end of the season.

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November could be pivotal month for Red Wings

After a dismal showing in October, the month of November may prove to be one of the most important stretches of games that the Detroit Red Wings will have all season.

nicklas-lidstromThe Wings managed to scrape by in October accumulating a 5-4-3 record and 13 points, landing them 19th in the NHL after 12 games. Key injuries early on hampered this team as they lost goal scorer Johan Franzen to an ACL injury until March and a broken wrist claimed Valteri Filppula, who Wings coach Mike Babcock has continuously praised as the Wings most consistent forward,  until mid-December. Mental lapses in defense and inconsistent goaltending also attributed to the Wings’ sour play.

November is when the Wings can look to turn it all around. Nine of the Red Wings’ 14 games this month will take place on home ice. Despite a lackluster October, the Wings had success at Joe Louis Arena as they took seven of a possible eight points on home ice (not counting the “home” game in Sweden). If that trend continues, the Wings will look to bounce back playing in front of the home crowd more often throughout November.

Nine of those games will be against conference and division rivals. These are the games that the Red Wings need to secure points in if they are to stay in the hunt for a playoff spot. Eight of the opponents that the Wings will see currently fall below them in the standings. While that isn’t always a great indicator to who will win or lose, the Wings do have a tendency to ease up against lesser opponents – another trend that needs to stop if they are to stay competitive in the standings. However, the Wings did manage to put together solid efforts against better opponents like the Chicago Blackhawks and Washington Capitals in October.

The San Jose Sharks will most likely be the biggest challenge of the month when they come to the Joe on November 5th. The Wings were able to hold Ovechkin to just one assist and keep Backstrom and Semin off the scoresheet when the Wings hosted the Capitals. They will hope to contain Joe Thornton and Dany Heatley in much the same way. The Wings will also host Marty Turco and the Dallas Stars twice this month. The Stars are playing good hockey so far, but Turco has a terrible record both against the Wings and playing at the Joe. Detroit certainly hopes to capitalize on Turco’s bad track record and get a couple W’s from those meetings. With Nashville, Atlanta, Anaheim, Florida and Toronto also on tap in November, the Wings should be disappointed if they bring home points in any less than ten games this month.

It’s  time for the Wings to shake off their rusty start. They have put together solid efforts sporadically, but their effort level needs to be more consistent. There’s no better time for the Wings to surge forward than in November against division rivals like Nashville and St. Louis and against weaker opponents like Florida, Atlanta and Toronto. It’s still early, but November could prove to be a pivotal month for the Wings and help set the tone for the rest of the season.

Leafs eagerly await Kessel’s debut

phil-kessel-brian-burke-2009-9-19-19-11-12The Toronto Maple Leafs currently sit dead last in the league with six points and one regulation win and only 30 goals for over the duration of 12 games, which is better than only a handful of teams. But the Leafs will get some much needed help early this week when forward Phil Kessel returns from long term injured reserve after off-season shoulder surgery. Kessel ended last season with 36 goals and 24 assists in 70 games with the Boston Bruins. Boston traded the star right wing to Toronto in the off season where he quickly signed a five-year, $27 million contract.

Reports indicate that Kessel will be in the lineup as early as Tuesday when the Leafs host the Tampa Bay Lightening. He has been skating for a solid three weeks with the team and has even been participating in contact drills in practice. This could be great news for Leafs fans who are highly anticipating the debut of Kessel in hopes that he will help lead an otherwise lackluster offense. As of now, defenseman Tomas Kaberle leads the team with 17 points. The next best point total comes from Mikhail Grabovski, who has 10.

Such high expectations may be sorely misplaced, however, at least at first. Kessel has been out of action all summer, which means that he will need a few games to say the least to come up to speed and get his timing back. Also, a significant debate is brewing in Toronto as to who will be the best fit to center the Kessel line. As a true goal scorer, Kessel plays better when he has a good passing center to feed him the puck. In Boston, center Marc Savard was the main set-up man for Kessel’s goals. Matt Stajan and Mikhail Grabovski seem to be the front-runners at this point to pair up with Kessel, and chances are good that each player will get a legitimate shot to see who sticks and where the best chemistry comes from. No matter who ends up on a line with Kessel, chemistry may take some time to build.

Two weeks might be a fair assessment for things to start clicking for Kessel and his new linemates, whoever they may be. Regardless, the Leafs brought in Kessel to score goals and help out their swindeling offense, so expect Kessel to get minutes into the twenties almost immediately. The boy needs to be on the ice if he’s going to score goals. Maybe Kessel will bring some of his plus-23 defensive play into the lineup as well, which the Leafs may need more than goals.

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James Wisniewski high elbow on Shane Doan

James Wisniewski of the Anaheim Ducks threw a high elbow to Captain Shane Doan of the Phoenix Coyotes. The elbow left Doan staggered on the ice, and bleeding from his left cheek. At first glance it seems to be just an awkward hit, but after video replay, you can see the extending of Wisniewski’s forearm/elbow.

Coyote Keith Yandle tangled with Wisnieweski in defense of his captain after the high hit. The game stayed ugly as big boys George Parros of Anaheim fought Coyote’s Paul Bissonnette.

The situation was laid to rest early in the second as Doan and Wisniewski dropped the gloves. The two exchanged a few blows before Doan gained position, only to have Wisniewski fall to the ice. Doan continued the fight and threw a big shot while Wisniewski was on his back.

The hit was high, a lunge to the head with an extended forearm/elbow. Wisniewski should get a suspension for the hit and hopefully will be addressed today. Despite the policing within the game with fighting, hits such as this are dangerous and could severely injure a player.

When the buzzer sounded, the Coyote’s took a shootout win over the Ducks in a score of 3-2. The Coyotes are now 9-4-0 and are in 4th place within the Western Conference. On the other end, the Anaheim Ducks fall to 4-6-2, leaving them second to last in 14th place within the Western Conference.

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